Posts Tagged ‘amount’

Variables and First-Time Homebuyers

Affordable Housing, Alberta, British Columbia, Canada, Financing, New Brunswick, Ontario, Prince Edward Island, Quebec, Saskatchewan, Uncategorized | Posted by admin
Jul 03 2009

Here’s an article about first-time homebuyers that shows the risks some people take with their mortgage:  See Story Here

The story portrays a young couple getting their first mortgage. It talks about how cash-strapped they are, and the difficulties they’ve experienced in affording a new home.

The story then goes on to say:  “What really helped? The 2.75% interest rate they were offered. It ultimately allowed them to move from a $1,800-a-month apartment into their own home.”

The couple then warns: “But we don’t have a lot of [wiggle] room.  We can go up to 4%, but then we’re done.”

So, illogically enough, they chose a variable-rate mortgage.

The person who recommended a variable to these folks should be examined.  A variable–rate mortgage is the last option a risk-susceptible homeowner should be considering.  Prime rate can move 1.25% before you know it.

In Canada’s current cycle, the Bank of Canada has slashed rates 4.25% in 17 months. The BoC says they will go no lower. After moving sideways, rates will start rising.  Most analysts expect prime rate to jump at least 1/2 of the amount it fell (i.e.,  at least 2+%).  The main question is when…and no one knows.

Going back to 1991, Canada has seen the following increases to prime:

  • 0.75% (In 1 month – Feb 92 to Mar 92)
  • 3.50% (In 2 months – Sep 92 to Nov 92)
  • 2.50% (In 4 months – Feb 94 to Jun 94)
  • 2.75% (In 4 months – Nov 94 to Mar 95)
  • 2.50% (In 12 months – Sep 97 to Sep 98)
  • 1.25% (In 7 months – Oct 99 to May 00)
  • 1.25% (In 13 months – Mar 02 to Apr 03)
  • 2.50% (In 39 months – Apr 04 to Jul 07)

The above list includes rate increases over both the short and long term.  A few of the short-term hikes took place inside of longer-term rate-increase cycles, so their effect would have been cumulative (i.e.  they would have added to previous rate increases).

It is worth noting that prime rate has usually fallen within 2-3 years after rising. On the other hand, Canada’s key lending rate has never before been cut to 0.25% in emergency fashion, as we’ve recently witnessed.  Perhaps rates will therefore remain elevated for longer, once they start going back up.

Whatever the case, if you eyeball the data it’s clear that a 2% prime-rate increase is very realistic in a 1-2-year timeframe.  This graph of prime rate since 1991 illustrates that.

Prime-RateThis isn’t intended to suggest where rates are going, of course. Past data is too limited and random to draw conclusions.  The point is simply that prime rate can move a lot in 1-2 years. Variable-rate mortgages are therefore unsuitable for folks with little financial breathing room.

A 2% increase in prime would raise payments 31% on a 35-year 2.75% variable mortgage.  On a $400,000 loan amount, that’s $463 more a month. 

If you’re a homeowner on a tight budget, and a 31% payment increase concerns you, don’t be seduced by today’s 2.75% adjustable rates. Look at a fixed-rate mortgage instead, or keep renting and build a financial buffer.

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Sidebar: With mortgages, there are exceptions to every rule because suitability is dependent on individual circumstances. Always consult a licensed mortgage professional to see what terms make the most sense for your personal situation.

(Prime rate data courtesy of the Bank of Canada)

Graduated Commissions Not Allowed By Brian Madigan LL.B.

Canada, Ontario | Posted by admin
Jun 16 2009

Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO, presemts:

If you read Freakonomics by Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner, you will have the impression that realtors are not particularly interested in getting the best price for your property.

The reason according to the authors is due to the fact that during the final negotiations the realtor doesn’t have as much to lose as the homeowner. The authors are economists and their analysis is pure economic theory, but it doesn’t really work quite that way in the real world.

So, let’s have a look at what they say. Let’s assume that you are selling your house and you have agreed to pay a 5% commission based upon the ultimate sale price. You have it listed at $309,900.00 and you are hoping to get it sold for $300,000.00. If that occurs, then, you will pay $15,000.00 in commissions. So let’s say you get an offer for $290,000.00. You would lose $10,000.00, but the agents would only lose $500.00, because the commission on the lower amount is still $14,500.00.

If the sole and only motivation for your agent was the money, then, they should convince you to do this deal and move on to another client. In fact, of the last $10,000.00 in the deal, your own agent may only get $62.50, so that’s not much motivation at all. Here’s how that works: the additional commission is $500.00, and that’s split equally between the two brokerage firms, one for the purchaser and one for the vendor. Your agent might only get one half of the commission based on their own arrangements with their own broker, so now we’re down to $125.00. But, that’s not the whole story, Canada Customs and Revenue Agency will probably take one half of what’s left. So, the bottom line is if you sell for $300,000.00 rather than $290,000.00 your chief negotiator will get another $62.50. That’s not much of an incentive!

The economists are suggesting that the better deal would be to have the agent motivated by re-directing commission entitlements to the tail end of the deal. So, what if we had graduated commissions; the higher the price the higher the rates. Taxing authorities do this same thing. The higher the income, the higher the rates. Let’s presume that the commission at the tail end of the deal was 50%. For example, nothing on the first $250,000.00 and all the commission payable out of the excess above $250,000.00.

Now, I’m not talking about the total amount of commission, I’m going to assume that the $15,000.00 is reasonable. But, under the system suggested by Levitt and Dubner, the entire $ 15,000 would have to come out of the last $ 50,000.00 of the purchase price. And, let’s assume that by the time we get to $ 290,000.00, one half of the excess goes in commissions. So, who cares about the final sale price now? Presumably, the agents care, more than you care. It’s one-third of the total commission payable. Yet your own agent may still only get 1/8 of that amount (œ other agent, œ broker, œ tax) or $625.00. So, while it seemed like a lot of money to put on the table to create an incentive, it’s really not that much.

So let’s move it up to 75%, that’s $7,500.00 in commission out of that last $10,000.00 (yet only $937.50 to your own agent); or 90% that works out to $9,000 and $1,125 to your agent. Now, out of that last $10,000.00, your agent finally has more at stake than you do. So, that should be a real motivator. And then, what about the final step, 100% of the last $10,000.00? So, this would work out well. You don’t even care about the final sale price.

The problem here is the law of agency. The common law is designed to ensure that the agent meets all of the legal obligations to the principal. It’s the principal’s contract, not the agent’s. Contingency fees for lawyers were outlawed until the latter part of the last century in most jurisdictions, for much the same reason. Now, fees of up to about 30% subject to Court approval are permitted.

The 100% commission under discussion is the same thing as a guaranteed price with the agent taking the excess. Now there’s an opportunity for the agent. This is not particularly professional. It does not comply with the laws governing principal and agents. Most jurisdictions with consumer protection legislation will not permit this sort of an arrangement.

In Ontario, real estate agents and brokers are governed by the Real Estate and Business Brokers Act which is administered by the Real Estate Council of Ontario(RECO).

Here are the rules when it comes to commission:

The commission may be:
? a fixed amount
? a percentage of the purchase price
? a decreasing percentage of the purchase price

The commission may not be:
? a fixed amount together with a percentage
? an increasing percentage of the purchase price
? the difference between the listed price and the sale price (or any similar arrangement, that is, no guaranteed amount to the vendor with the excess to the agent)

Well, those laws wouldn’t sit well with Levitt and Dubner, but then again it’s a very interesting discussion for an Economics class. By the way, those big time incentives for professional athletes don’t work all that well. Just ask Leaf fans, Yankee fans………..

http://ontariorealestatesource.blogspot.com/2009/06/graduated-commissions-not-allowed.html